I see that it has been quite a while since I posted here. This is mainly because for the past year or so, and most especially the last six months, I have been immersed up to my eyelobes [sic] in the International Relations literature working on a thematic paper on the future of the rules-based international order. I’ll delay any further discussion about this until the paper is published and then reflect on what that was like. But you can probably guess from the previous blog entry who this was for…
Continue reading “Two recent activities – a podcast and a presentation”
Category: Futures
NATO’s Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023
Last year I contributed to the development of the Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23), undertaken by the Strategic Foresight Branch of NATO’s Allied Command Transformation. This was a more-than-year-long effort combining the expertise of some 800 workshop participants, together with the experience of around 20 or so members of a core reference team who got to see, comment upon, and make suggestions for inclusion into, earlier draft versions of the Report (see page 98 of the SFA23 to see their names). It was amazing to see the document take shape over that time.
Continue reading “NATO’s Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023”
Conference Keynote: The future as an ever-evolving attack surface
I was invited to speak last week at the annual cybersecurity conference hosted by AusCERT, at The Star Hotel on the Gold Coast. The conference theme was “Back to the Future”, and the topic I chose was ‘The Future as an Ever-Evolving Attack Surface’, which I thought might be interesting enough to hold the many-ways-divided attention of the assembled crowd of very busy cyberfolks. And the feedback does seem to have borne this out, I’m pleased to say.
The MC for the event was Adam Spencer, and it was a good deal of fun to relate to him over breakfast the following story I used to tell my students in the Masters program (see under the de Bono Principle on the scanning heuristics page).
Continue reading “Conference Keynote: The future as an ever-evolving attack surface”
Scanning Retrospective, No. 36
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 11
[Originally published] Issue 10, December 2002
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- [Intro to new format for prospect]
- [Description of selection criteria for inclusion of items (‘hits’) in the FPR strategic scanning database (SSD)]
- [Sign-off from FPR, editorship of prospect and authorship of the Snippets]
- [Ten scanning ‘hits’ from the SSD]
- Foresight Snippets, No. 25
Scanning Retrospective, No. 35
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 10
[Originally published] Issue 9, September 2002
Special Issue – Environmental Scanning
- Environmental scanning
- Environmental scanning in four worlds
- Reframing environmental scanning
- Foresight Snippets, No. 24
Scanning Retrospective, No. 34
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 9
[Originally published] Issue 8, June 2002
- Virtual schools
- The radical restructuring of higher education
- A choice of transformations for the 21st-Century university
- Foresight Snippets, No. 23
Scanning Retrospective, No. 33
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 8
[Originally published] Issue 7, March 2002
- From The Herman Trend Alert:
- Metamorphosis of University Education
- Internationalisation of Education
- Upheaval in Education?
- The Futures of Universities
- Higher Education in the 21st Century
- Foresight Snippets, No. 22
Scanning Retrospective, No. 32
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 7
[Originally published] Issue 6, December 2001
Special Issue – Preparing for the Swinburne Scenarios Project, 2002
- A Primer on Futures Studies, Foresight and the Use of Scenarios
- Envisioning (and Inventing) the Future
- Making the Future Visible: Psychology, Scenarios and Strategy
- From Scenario Thinking to Strategic Action
- The Swinburne Scenarios Project 2002
Scanning Retrospective, No. 31
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 6
[Originally published] Issue 5, September 2001
- The Inevitability of a Business Model for Higher Education
- Trends Transforming the Universities of This Century
- Managerial Vision
- The Notion of Entrepreneurship: Historical and Emerging Issues
Scanning Retrospective, No. 30
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 5
[Originally published] Issue 4, June 2001
- Linking Strategic Thinking with Strategic Planning
- Changing Ideas of the University
- Bridging the Divide
- Trend Alert: Recruiters Will Reach Into High Schools
Scanning Retrospective, No. 29
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 4
[Originally published] Issue 3, March 2001
- Education: New Economy, New Challenges?
- Reshaping Universities for the Future
- Universal Tertiary Education
- Academic Entrepreneurship in Higher Education
Scanning Retrospective, No. 28
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 3
[Originally published] Issue 2, Dec 2000
- Instititutional Entrepreneurship in Higher Education
- The Changing Research Environment
- Globalisation: a world without borders
- TAFE and university graduates – what’s the difference?
Scanning Retrospective, No. 27
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 2
[Originally published] Issue 2, Dec 2000
- Vacation too wired? You’re not alone
- Railway web
- Federal Government removes tertiary ‘sectoral divide’
Scanning Retrospective, No. 26
‘From the pages of prospect’ – No. 1
[Originally published] Issue 2, Dec 2000
From this post onwards, we now dip into the items that were published in the Foresight Bulletin, prospect, starting with issue 2, the first issue that I edited. Most will not be given in their entirety, since they were often full-length articles taken from journals, magazines or other long-form sources. Rather, it will be sufficient to just give the ‘flavour’ of the piece in order to see how well they have ‘aged’. Initially, there were a handful of Snippets-ish type items, but these soon gave way to longer-form articles.
- Ain’t no network strong enough
- Home is where the e-classroom is
- Internet contributes to rise of identity theft, FTC says
Scanning Retrospective, No. 25
Foresight Snippets – No. 25
[Originally published in] prospect no 10, December 2002
- The chronic question: “What is Time?”
- Macrohistory – the really big picture view
- And finally, “who is it that ‘knows’?”
Scanning Retrospective, No. 24
Foresight Snippets – No. 24
[Originally published in] prospect no 9, September 2002
- Empirical Evidence of Global Consciousness?
- Save the Earth! Mine the Moon
- Getting Ready to Tackle Armageddon
Scanning Retrospective, No. 23
Foresight Snippets – No. 23
[Originally published in] prospect no. 8, June 2002
- “War driving” and the coming of Wi-Fi
- Look out, Prime Minister, that napkin could be dangerous!
- Forget bio-tech, what about neuro-tech?
Scanning Retrospective, No. 22
Foresight Snippets – No. 22
[Originally published in] prospect no.7, March 2002
- Warp Drive? Make It So! (Maybe)
- A(nother) Force of Nature?
- Risk-Free Babies?
Scanning Retrospective, No. 21
Foresight Snippets – No. 21
[Originally published] February 2002
- The History of Utopian Thought
- The Image of the Future
- The Principality of New Utopia
- This is probably the final email issue of the Foresight Snippets
Scanning Retrospective, No. 20
Foresight Snippets – No. 20
[Originally published] January 2002
- The Limits to Growth and Beyond
- The Tragedy of the Commons
- Natural Capitalism Explained
The Voroscope 